USDT是稳定币,先说一下稳定币是什么。
<p><br/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 16px"><br/></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"> 你玩过街机吗?</span> <span style="font-family:宋体">要玩街机内托管的游戏,你必须先用钱兑换街机代币。</span> <span style="font-family:宋体">这些代币在商场的微观经济中充当美元等价物。</span> <span style="font-family:宋体">在游乐场的幻想世界中逗留结束时,你可以(有时)卖回你的代币以换取真钱。</span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"> 稳定币是街机代币的加密等价物。</span> <span style="font-family:宋体">在最简单的形式中,稳定币发行人接受一个单位的货币以换取与该单位货币相等的区块链条目。</span> <span style="font-family:宋体">因此,</span>1 <span style="font-family:宋体">美元相当于 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">1 </span><span style="font-family:宋体">美元 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">USDC </span><span style="font-family:宋体">或 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">1 </span><span style="font-family:宋体">美元 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">USDT</span><span style="font-family:宋体">。 然后实体可以使用这些美元等价物直接在区块链上购买其他加密货币或执行其他交易、贷款、转账等。</span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"> 作为创建区块链可用美元等价物的交换,稳定币发行人可以持有真实美元并收取这些资产所赚取的任何利息。</span> <span style="font-family:宋体">但是,发行人明确承诺将所有这些资产都持有在安全且流动性强的资产中,以确保其储备金的价值始终等于其发行的稳定币的价值。</span> <span style="font-family:宋体">换句话说,稳定币发行人应该像一个简单的</span></span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;color: rgb(0, 0, 255)"><span style="font-family:宋体">货币市场基金</span></span></span><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体">一样运作。</span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"> 加密货币市场上共有三种大型稳定币,总市值达</span> 1300 <span style="font-family:宋体">亿美元。 这大约占加密货币总市值的 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">14%</span><span style="font-family:宋体">。 这三种稳定币共同构成了加密货币市场流动性的 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">99% </span><span style="font-family:宋体">以上。</span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"> 在这些稳定币中,</span>Tether <span style="font-family:宋体">稳定币是规模最大的,目前市值为 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">650 </span><span style="font-family:宋体">亿美元,其次是 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Circle</span><span style="font-family:宋体">的</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">USDC</span><span style="font-family:宋体">(</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">430 </span><span style="font-family:宋体">亿美元)和 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">BUSD</span><span style="font-family:宋体">(</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">220 </span><span style="font-family:宋体">亿美元)。 按每日交易量计算,</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Tether </span><span style="font-family:宋体">也(经常)主导市场。除了 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">FTX </span><span style="font-family:宋体">失败期间 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">BUSD </span><span style="font-family:宋体">交易量飙升的短暂时期,</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Tether </span><span style="font-family:宋体">的交易量通常超过其他两种稳定币数倍:</span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><img src="https://www.usdt94.top/upload/forum/img/1671082844373009379.jpg" title="1671082844373009379.jpg" width="690" alt="v2-e247b08bb89f9611166df2e4f2d8f0df_r.jpg" id="img_upload" height="434"/></span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:14px"> </span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:14px"> </span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体">换句话说,</span>Tether <span style="font-family:宋体">是加密货币市场中美元流动性的主要来源。</span></span></p><p><strong><span style="font-family: Calibri;font-size: 16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></strong></p><p><span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;">再说一下</span>USDT<span style="font-family: 宋体;">的风险</span></span></strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;"><br/></span></span></strong></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px">Tether <span style="font-family:宋体">稳定币是市场上最古老也是最大的稳定币。 它由运行 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Bitfinex </span><span style="font-family:宋体">交易所的同一个人所有,尽管表面上 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Tether </span><span style="font-family:宋体">和 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Bitfinex </span><span style="font-family:宋体">是独立的实体。 正如我们将展示的那样,这两家公司之间的分离类似于 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">FTX </span><span style="font-family:宋体">交易所和 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Alameda Research </span><span style="font-family:宋体">之间假定的分离。</span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"> 与</span> Circle <span style="font-family:宋体">和 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Paxos </span><span style="font-family:宋体">都获准在纽约州运营不同,</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Tether </span><span style="font-family:宋体">被明确禁止在纽约州开展业务。 在证明 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Tether </span><span style="font-family:宋体">在支持 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">USDT </span><span style="font-family:宋体">的储备方面撒谎后,</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Tether </span><span style="font-family:宋体">不得不支付 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">1800 </span><span style="font-family:宋体">万美元与 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">NY AG </span><span style="font-family:宋体">达成和解。 事实证明,在 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Tether </span><span style="font-family:宋体">历史上的几个时间点,他们宣传的 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">1:1 </span><span style="font-family:宋体">美元支持是一个谎言。 此外,</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Tether </span><span style="font-family:宋体">和 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Bitfinex </span><span style="font-family:宋体">经常混合资产,共享资金以防止破产。</span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"> 无论如何,让我们忘记那些完全不相关的过去,看看</span> Tether <span style="font-family:宋体">在 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">2022 </span><span style="font-family:宋体">年 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">9 </span><span style="font-family:宋体">月 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">30 </span><span style="font-family:宋体">日的最新证明:</span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:14px"> </span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:14px"></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:14px"><img src="https://www.usdt94.top/upload/forum/img/1671083117573016633.jpg" title="1671083117573016633.jpg" width="548" alt="photo_2022-12-15_13-44-59.jpg" id="img_upload" height="598"/></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:14px"></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:14px"></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:14px"> </span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"> 短期国库券和现金占其储备的</span> 67%<span style="font-family:宋体">。 另外 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">71 </span><span style="font-family:宋体">亿美元 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">(10.3%) </span><span style="font-family:宋体">的储备存放在货币市场基金中。 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Tether </span><span style="font-family:宋体">没有透露其拥有哪些国债或在哪里进行银行业务的明细。</span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"> 值得注意的是,这些储备中有</span> 119 <span style="font-family:宋体">亿美元 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">(18%) </span><span style="font-family:宋体">属于</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">“</span><span style="font-family:宋体">其他投资</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">”</span><span style="font-family:宋体">、</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">“</span><span style="font-family:宋体">担保贷款</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">”</span><span style="font-family:宋体">和</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">“</span><span style="font-family:宋体">公司</span></span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;color: rgb(0, 0, 255)"><span style="font-family:宋体">债券</span></span></span><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体">、基金和贵金属</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">”</span><span style="font-family:宋体">。 另外 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">30 </span><span style="font-family:宋体">亿美元 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">(4.4%) </span><span style="font-family:宋体">以</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">“</span><span style="font-family:宋体">逆回购协议</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">”</span><span style="font-family:宋体">的形式持有,但是这些不是国债支持的资产。 相反,这些是:</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 48px;margin-left: 48px"><span style=";font-family:宋体;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体">通过购买结构性票据或基金工具直接或间接订立的协议,协议的最终发行人或担保人的评级为</span> <span style="font-family:宋体">A-2 或更高。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 48px;margin-left: 48px"><span style=";font-family:宋体;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 48px;margin-left: 48px"><span style=";font-family:宋体;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"> 这些担保贷款是给谁的?</span> <span style="font-family:宋体">我们不知道,因为</span> Tether <span style="font-family:宋体">没有告诉我们。 我们知道至少有一个前债权人是 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Celsius Network</span><span style="font-family:宋体">,</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Tether </span><span style="font-family:宋体">最终在 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">2022 </span><span style="font-family:宋体">年 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">6 </span><span style="font-family:宋体">月以超过 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">9 </span><span style="font-family:宋体">亿美元的价格清算了它。</span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"> 这些贷款是用什么做担保的?</span> <span style="font-family:宋体">我们不知道,因为</span> Tether <span style="font-family:宋体">没有告诉我们。 根据他们与 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Celsius </span><span style="font-family:宋体">的交易,我们知道 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Tether </span><span style="font-family:宋体">基于比特币支持的贷款发行了 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">USDT</span><span style="font-family:宋体">。</span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"> 哪些资产构成了</span> Tether <span style="font-family:宋体">的 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">26 </span><span style="font-family:宋体">亿美元</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">“</span><span style="font-family:宋体">其他资产</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">”</span><span style="font-family:宋体">? 我们不知道,</span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Tether </span><span style="font-family:宋体">同样没说。 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Semafor </span><span style="font-family:宋体">最近的一份报告称,其中一些资产是 </span><span style="font-family:Calibri">Tether </span><span style="font-family:宋体">在(可能毫无价值的)公司中进行的风险投资:</span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 48px;margin-left: 48px"><span style=";font-family:宋体;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体">根据</span> <span style="font-family:宋体">9 月份的报告,它还拥有 26 亿美元的“其他投资”。 目前尚不完全清楚其中的内容,但据一家押注 Tether 价格的对冲基金委托的全球调查公司称,它们可能是其所有者和附属公司持有的其他加密货币公司的风险投资股份。</span></span><span style=";font-family:宋体;font-size:16px"><br/></span><span style=";font-family:宋体;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体">Semafor 审查了其报告的结果,发现 Tether 持有十几家加密初创公司的股权。Semafor 能够验证一些但不能验证其他。 我们确认,拥有 Tether 的加密货币交易所通过自身或附属公司投资于:一个名为 Betfinex 的在线博彩网站; 数据共享服务 Dazaar; Dusk Networks,其软件将金融投资转化为代币; 一个名为 Rhino 的加密货币交易平台; Shape Shift,一个加密钱包; Blockstream,一家区块链基础设施公司; Netki,一家数字身份识别公司; 和视频聊天应用 </span></span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;color: rgb(0, 0, 255);font-size: 16px"><span style="font-family:宋体">http://Keet.io</span></span></span><span style=";font-family:宋体;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体">。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 48px;margin-left: 48px"><span style=";font-family:宋体;font-size:16px"><span style="font-family:宋体"><br/></span></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: 20px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"><span style="font-size: 20px; font-family: 宋体;">以上是关于</span>USDT<span style="font-size: 20px; font-family: 宋体;">的风险提示</span></span></p><p><span style=";font-family:Calibri;font-size:14px"> </span></p><p><br/></p> 学到了写到了 学到了写到了 学到了写到了
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